Herewith, I am happy to publish another interview – my third in total and this time with Darrell Thomas who invited me several times to his growing YouTube channel “The Money Levels Show”. As a stock investor and blogger myself, I am always interested in what my colleagues are thinking, saying, writing or in this case broadcasting about different topics regarding stock investments.
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Over the last weeks, the stock of struggling gaming retailer GameStop has been making big waves for a second time after 2021. Fortunately, management made use of the mania and raised an insane ~4.3 bn. USD via two equity raises. With such a huge cash pile and no debt, GameStop is not in danger of going bankrupt anytime soon. As the stock is down again significantly, is it now worth a look?
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About two weeks ago, the stock of former darling Nike collapsed by 20%, something many thought could not be possible for a market leader. Especially, as Nike’s shares have fallen already by 40% from their all-time high at truly excessive valuations. But of course it’s possible, as a lower stock even by this margin is not automatically an attractive investment from a risk and reward perspective (sorry buy-the dippers). Today’s Weekly is a lesson about valuations and market behavior, something we need to remind ourselves all over again not to fall into valuations traps, no matter how bullish sentiment is.
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While I do not agree that the market is efficient all the time, I also do not agree that it is completely inefficient. Especially in today’s world where information is more accessible than ever before. The truth will likely be somewhere in the middle. Clear cases with little surprises and high transparency with lots of attention tend to be valued fairly or even overvalued, especially when sentiment is positive. However, when something is overlooked and / or less transparent, respectively a bit more complicated and even hated, there’s a chance to find hidden value.
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Who doesn’t know the saying that quality has its price? While I would not necessarily view Jack Daniel’s Whiskey’s as high quality, the parent company Brown-Forman’s stock for long has been seen and valued by the market as such. Shares seemingly knew only one way: slowly, but reliably up. Despite small growth rates and unlike its bottles on the shelves, this high-margin business’ equity was never really on sale – until recently. Is this finally a once in a decade buying opportunity?
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Browsing through Twitter / X, I often see people posting about “buy-the-dip” candidates. While this is not necessarily the case for energy stocks (where as my readers and especially members know, I have a positive opinion about), in the recent past more and more consumer discretionary stocks have been presented. The main arguments are always the same – they are cheap(er) now! I have some doubts that it’s time to rush in.
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Everyone knows that market concentration leads to less competition and in turn to more powerful entities within this group. Such oligopolies by definition should allow the respective companies to achieving strong results and high margins due to pricing power, but also where applicable economies of scale. In reality, however, not every sector or company offers automatically a good stock investment, even when factually operating in an oligopoly.
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My longer time readers know that dividend cuts have been one of my favorite topics. It is of high importance for me to ring the bell in order to help investors get more cautious with their investments. There are no risk-free stocks. The same applies to proclaimed “bond-proxy” dividend stocks, no matter which useless title they hold in connection with their dividend series. Today, I’m presenting two more kings I have on my radar for a cut.
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Hobbyist computer company Raspberry – known for its small single board devices of the size of a credit card – will become a publicly traded company in a few weeks. In fact, Raspberry is more than just a hardware company for do-it-yourselfers. It’s targeted 500 mn. GBP IPO looks cheap on the surface with a (debt-free) PE of 20x and a growth story attached to it. I took a closer look into the prospectus – the stock will likely be way more expensive than you might think. Caution is advised.
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As is with investing, from time to time, there will be losing positions in a portfolio in company to big winners. This is what happened among my ideas for my Premium PLUS members. Last week, I threw out Burberry after I lost patience due to deteriorating fundamentals. Today, I am looking back at how I formed my thesis, what happened in the meantime and I explain why I finally pulled the brake as well as why this decision was necessary.
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