Category Archives: dividends

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Retail crowd’s favorite REITs: disappointment likely to continue

REITs, or real estate investment trusts, are an asset class that is typically followed and bought by investors with a focus on cash flows in the form of dividends. One of the main arguments is that this way they don’t have to bother about stock price fluctuations, as their dividend income is safe. Sounds logical, but the long-term performance of three highly celebrated such REITs is simply weak. The worst thing, I am expecting this trend to continue or even to worsen.

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Swiss Re – next reinsurer to make a new high?

Most stocks of the world’s biggest reinsurance companies have made new all-time highs, surpassing their decades-long tops. One rare exception is the world’s number two, Swiss Re. With the painful zero interest rate period being over and despite what it looks like another rate lowering cycle, the business is benefiting in two ways: higher insurance premiums as well as higher yields on investments. Is an all-time high for the stock only a question of time?

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Curbline Properties – new REIT with huge net cash – a no-brainer buy?

Despite not being primarily a dividend investor myself, I have written one or the other time about shares of this asset class. Quite popular among income investors, REITs offer exposure to the real estate market in an uncomplicated way. They come without the drawback of having to concentrate on a few objects due to high capital requirements (usually debt-financed) and the need to manage them. With Curbline Properties, a new stock has started trading some two weeks ago. What’s so special about this company is that it comes with a huge net cash position, uncommon for REITs. Is it worth a look?

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The most profitable, but nearly forgotten online retailer – eBay

Maybe with the exception of the youngest generation, I’m tempted to say that everyone knows eBay. The online retailing dinosaur which was once declared dead due to explosively growing and more modern competitors, is still alive. In fact, it’s even the most profitable such platform. Not noticed by many, its stock has been climbing up to the second-highest point after the separation with PayPal. Time to look at eBay?

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Estée Lauder – after –75% still not pretty + dividend in danger

A common misconception is that lower stock prices are akin to cheaper shares. Without much explanation, it is logical that this can only apply when the underlying business has at least been stable. Otherwise it is possible that a stock even becomes more expensive! While this is not the case at Estée Lauder, despite a 75% drop from its all-time high, the stock is still looking ugly valuation-wise. A decent downside risk remains. On top, the likelihood for a dividend cut or even entire suspension is significant.

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Flow Traders – it was right to cut the loss

My longer time readers and members will be familiar with the Dutch company Flow Traders as it once was one of my stock ideas (my very first report I published since launching my blog). In late September 2023, now ten months ago, however, I closed this case at a small loss of –10% (including dividends). It was not an easy decision as this was more an unconventional stock idea (basically a hedge against a market crash). Looking back, this was absolutely the correct decision to cut the small loss, because it would be a bigger hole now…

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Hangover: Time to buy Brown-Forman?

Who doesn’t know the saying that quality has its price? While I would not necessarily view Jack Daniel’s Whiskey’s as high quality, the parent company Brown-Forman’s stock for long has been seen and valued by the market as such. Shares seemingly knew only one way: slowly, but reliably up. Despite small growth rates and unlike its bottles on the shelves, this high-margin business’ equity was never really on sale – until recently. Is this finally a once in a decade buying opportunity?

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Three consumer discretionary darlings I’m not buying (yet?)

Browsing through Twitter / X, I often see people posting about “buy-the-dip” candidates. While this is not necessarily the case for energy stocks (where as my readers and especially members know, I have a positive opinion about), in the recent past more and more consumer discretionary stocks have been presented. The main arguments are always the same – they are cheap(er) now! I have some doubts that it’s time to rush in.

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Checkmate – more kings to have on the radar for dividend cuts

My longer time readers know that dividend cuts have been one of my favorite topics. It is of high importance for me to ring the bell in order to help investors get more cautious with their investments. There are no risk-free stocks. The same applies to proclaimed “bond-proxy” dividend stocks, no matter which useless title they hold in connection with their dividend series. Today, I’m presenting two more kings I have on my radar for a cut.

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Burberry – closed at a loss + what to take home

As is with investing, from time to time, there will be losing positions in a portfolio in company to big winners. This is what happened among my ideas for my Premium PLUS members. Last week, I threw out Burberry after I lost patience due to deteriorating fundamentals. Today, I am looking back at how I formed my thesis, what happened in the meantime and I explain why I finally pulled the brake as well as why this decision was necessary.

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