Time to look at gas + new research report

Energy in general is a hotly debated and controversial topic. But when it comes to natural gas, it can become extreme, especially if you mix in liquefied natural gas – or in short: LNG. For long, I have been sitting on the sidelines regarding this market. But I feel now is the time to not only write a Weekly, but also a research report for my members about it – as a hedge from a European perspective. As a bonus, I estimate a 10% dividend yield to be announced next week from my latest pick.

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Is this the logical pick in the weight loss mania?

Hypes and manias are part of the game of stock markets. Whenever a new trend emerges, more and more people hear of it and start to invest. Commonly, it’s first the professionals and depending on the underlying theme also ultra-contrarian investors. If a story has legs, then the retail crowd jumps in which often leads to exaggerations and bubbles. One of the current hypes is clearly weight loss drugs. But thinking around the corner, is there an overlooked, more conservatively valued stock to benefit?

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Why I don’t care about the Lindy effect

There are many rules of thumb and well-intentioned advice for younger investors. One such “rule” says that it is better to buy stocks of older and proven companies. While I do not disagree with this on an isolated basis, I am missing the second part, namely that every business has a certain life expectancy. There comes inevitably a time for every company to either step into the background or to disappear altogether. History is full of examples.

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Canon – the next big semiconductor supplier?

It was hard not to notice over the last few weeks alerts about Canon’s breakthrough announcement. The Japanese conglomerate has been working for a decade on a completely new technology compared to ASML’s EUV monopoly of how to produce small, state of the art semiconductors. Canon has an own approach that will soon enter the market. Could the stock of Canon be in the starting blocks for a new era?

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Zooming in on Zoom after –90% from its all-time high – what’s next?

Barely anyone will know somebody who does not know the video conferencing tool zoom. Especially during the last three years, it has become an everyday companion for many people who shifted to working from anywhere. The shares of Zoom were first hyped up to the stratosphere, but are back down to earth again. Is the stock now worth a second look as the sentiment is rather negative? Let’s find out.

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Why I stayed away from REITs until now + new research report

Real estate investment trusts have been a favored asset class of many due to enabling property ownership without enslaving oneself with mountains of debt and without betting just on one horse. Other factors like liquidity, the ability to sale fractions of your ownership and often great shareholder returns have been other arguments. I was avoiding them on purpose – but there’s a sub-sector that could be interesting just right now.

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Update to my first silver Weekly + new research report

Almost exactly a year ago I published a Weekly with the question whether it was the right time back then to buy silver. I rather referred to silver in physical form, respectively via ETFs which hold it in physical form, as I had difficulties in finding an investable stock of a producer that fit my strict quality filter. This industry is still a mess, as many miners are actively destroying shareholder value and / or are having difficulties with their costs, but also declining reserves.

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Why you should prefer low-cost commodity producers + new research report

While my statement from the headline might sound as obvious as brushing teeth each day, there are indeed also proponents of buying shares of companies that have among the worst economics – not the best. This is then justified by a higher operating leverage, should commodity prices rise, due to then disproportionately higher improvements in the financial statements. Here’s what you should know.

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A silver lining for Argentina? A look at YPF + new research report

Argentina is mainly known as a nation being in perpetual crisis mode. Besides beef, wine and tango, among the first thoughts that likely come to one’s mind are debt, economic hardship and hyperinflation. Needless to say that in such an environment you won’t find a booming economy. However, many Argentine stocks or those with a vast exposure to this market, have been rising over the last months. Is a (massive) turnaround in sight?

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Deep Dive into Offshore Energy Drilling – coming back from the near-dead + new research report

Not only being one of the most cyclical, but also most hated energy sub-sectors, offshore drilling has been a secure investment grave for the last nearly 15 years. There is barely any investment topic where you could have sunk money more reliably. However, there are really interesting developments that make it worthwhile to risk a look into it, again. Especially, as along as it is perceived a no-go area for ESG-promoters – although offshore drilling tends to be the best choice in this regard.

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