Readers who like spicier ideas by now might have heard about ongoing discussions of a potential release of two (in)famous US mortgage companies from conservatorship, i.e. a possible privatization. Yes indeed, state-owned (or partly-owned) enterprises aren’t just a thing of perceived socialist or communist countries. At the latest after none other than hedge fund billionaire Bill Ackman pitched his investment case aggressively on Twitter, stocks of Fannie Mae and Freddie Mac have made big waves. According to Ackman, there’s still a substantial upside of 5x left (after already being up by 5x since November). Is this THE no-brainer opportunity for 2025?
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Halozyme Therapeutics – an overlooked bargain? + new stock idea
Feeling uncomfortable with everybody’s darling stocks, my motivation was and still is to find stock ideas with what I call “an own life”. With that I am looking for companies with internal triggers or catalysts which can influence shares positively (almost) regardless of what broader markets do. While I do not believe (for now) in a hefty stock market crash which pushes down all equities, I cannot rule out a nosebleed correction in the tech sector. In search of uncorrelated stock ideas, I spent some time on the Pharma / biotech sector. Halozyme Therapeutics is a seemingly lowly-valued stock. My Premium PLUS members have already received my latest potential-multi-bagger stock idea in an exclusive research report to kick off the year 2025.
Continue readingStocks of Dollar Stores – now finally a buy?
This Weekly is an update taking a second look at North American “dollar store” operators Dollar General and Dollarama. After almost exactly to the day two years ago, I featured both names in an analysis concluding that I have sympathies for the businesses as such, but not for their stocks. Something quite interesting has happened since: one stock totally cratered, the other advanced by another 75%. The development could not have been more different! What do both have in store now?
Continue readingDrill Baby, drill + new research report “Trump Trade 2.0”
One of the expectations for the second term of president-elect Donald Trump is that “dirty” energy will see a huge revival due to pushing back the strict ESG policies of the current administration. Less wind and solar and back to more oil, gas and coal, maybe with nuclear mixed in. However, despite the perception being that Trump is good for oil and gas producers, the above would be exactly the opposite as more supply means lower energy prices. Will we see aggressive drilling and lower energy prices or shall we prepare for something entirely different? All my members receive my latest stock idea, my second “Trump Trade” which should be a big beneficiary either way.
Continue readingInPost – polish highflier transforms Europe’s parcel delivery market
Delivering parcels to so called parcel machines instead of to the door of the receiver is a major growth story. Coming with benefits for all parties, this win-win concept has not only transformed many big (former) state-owned postal businesses by infusing some new growth into them. It has also created a Polish company that has specialized exactly on this business without operating capital-intensive logistics or legacy mail. It is rolling up many European markets full-steam. The last coup: a takeover in the UK, the continent’s biggest e-commerce market. Is InPost’s stock a must-own?
Continue readingCurbline Properties – new REIT with huge net cash – a no-brainer buy?
Despite not being primarily a dividend investor myself, I have written one or the other time about shares of this asset class. Quite popular among income investors, REITs offer exposure to the real estate market in an uncomplicated way. They come without the drawback of having to concentrate on a few objects due to high capital requirements (usually debt-financed) and the need to manage them. With Curbline Properties, a new stock has started trading some two weeks ago. What’s so special about this company is that it comes with a huge net cash position, uncommon for REITs. Is it worth a look?
Continue readingStocks and a potential Trump 2.0 presidency + new stock idea
Only about a month until the presidential elections will be held in the US. Depending on the outcome, implications for stock investors and their portfolio composition could be quite different. With the clock ticking, now is a good time to look back at 2016 and to prepare for what’s in store. For my Premium PLUS members, I have dug out a very unconventional idea with the potential to realistically up to 6x in case Donald Trump does indeed win again – with very little dependence on what broader markets could do. On top, there could even be a dividend with a yield of almost 50%.
Continue readingVusionGroup – overlooked tech growth story from Europe?
When talking about success stories from the tech sphere, one more likely than not primarily thinks of US companies. While there are a handful of well established big players outside of the US and in addition quite a few ascending, though more locally focussed businesses from Asia and Latin Amerika, too, I must honestly go deep into myself to name two or three European tech success stories of worldwide relevance with a big name, strong growth profile and dominant market position. Among smaller companies, there is a promising candidate to have an eye on – from an unexpected sector.
Continue readingQuick profits through short squeezes + new research report
Every (amateur) investor’s dream is to get rich quickly. After a few years in the markets, more experienced investors know this is a naive attitude, most often only good enough to lose money quickly, i.e. the opposite of what was intended initially. However, a suitable strategy which can be mixed into a stock portfolio – especially when searching for uncorrelated ideas – is to look for potential short squeeze targets, given the underlying businesses are not one step away from bankruptcy. A look back at some prominent short squeezes. My members on top receive my latest research report with a potential short squeeze candidate.
Continue readingThe most profitable, but nearly forgotten online retailer – eBay
Maybe with the exception of the youngest generation, I’m tempted to say that everyone knows eBay. The online retailing dinosaur which was once declared dead due to explosively growing and more modern competitors, is still alive. In fact, it’s even the most profitable such platform. Not noticed by many, its stock has been climbing up to the second-highest point after the separation with PayPal. Time to look at eBay?
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