Commodity stocks and recessions – clearing up a common misconception

As many commodity prices – being economically sensitive resources – have dropped massively over the last months (and even more so over the last weeks) as well as a recession being expected by the consensus, the question is whether equities of commodity producers in general are about to crash. At least this was the procedure during the last Great Recession of 2008–2009. However, this is too simplified, completely ignoring history.

Continue reading

Megatrend of this decade: Dividend cuts + an update to my most popular article so far

Even though I know that I certainly won’t make many new friends with this article, especially not from the ranks of dividend investors, it is a duty for me to address this topic. I also think, it’s no coincidence that my most popular article to date has been about looming dividend cuts. Simply put, it’s too important to be ignored.

Continue reading

Will Deutsche Bahn (DB) finally be broken up? + new research report!

In the past, this question was a no-go. On several occasions, speculation about at least a sale of non-core business units was put on the table, but quickly buried again. Over time Deutsche Bahn has accumulated so much debt that its barely profitable core operations cannot handle these obligations. An eternal zombie existence on government life support is not a viable solution. And then there is the ambitious investment offensive to modernize and expand the existing rail infrastructure. Is it finally time to break up Deutsche Bahn?

Continue reading

Is NuScale Power Corp. (SMR) a sure bet on next-gen atomic reactors?

A few weeks ago, I wrote about the overall investment environment of uranium. I concluded from a top-level perspective, that due to a stressed supply-demand situation, higher prices likely are more a question of “when”, not “if”. After publication, one of my readers and Premium Members wrote to me about a certain company that could benefit from the plan to not only build more, but also smaller, next generation nuclear reactors. I have put this idea under the microscope.

Continue reading

Dollar stores with discounted prices, but expensive shares

Physical retail stores as a whole in most developed countries have more likely than not reached their peak. However, there is a sub-category in this sector that is expanding quickly. More than that, the so-called “dollar stores” have even been beneficiaries of a diminishing middle-class. Are the respective stocks a good investment idea, especially as inflation is trimming budgets?

Continue reading

Uranium: Explosive investment opportunity or meltdown ahead?

One of the most frequently asked questions among commodity investors is about uranium. This controversial commodity seems to finally have entered a new bull market after a decade and a half of pure disappointments. What followed the euphoria of 2007/2008 was a long stretch torture. What are the prospects now and will the uranium price shoot up again sustainably? Or is it just hyped and ready to fall into dust?

Continue reading

The funeral business: dead money or under-looked opportunity?

Last week, I wrote about farmland and farmland stocks. But land can also be used for other purposes. While being asked about land, the most common answers will be farmland or land for housebuilding. Maybe also forestry. However, there is another sector that could prove to be a more valuable investment opportunity due to being less followed, but obvious in hindsight.

Continue reading

Are farmland stocks a hedge against inflation?

If you ask people about inflation-proof investments, the answers are most likely energy, real estate, precious metals or nowadays maybe even cryptocurrencies or rare whisky bottles. What is less obvious and very underestimated is farmland. It has proven to be not only a very effective hedge against inflation, but also over the last 25 years outperformed the S&P500 while being less volatile. What about farmland stocks?

Continue reading

Is Axon Enterprise an electrifying crisis investment?

Everywhere you look, there seems to be some kind of crisis. Whether economic, health, political, financial, housing, migration or war crises – it seems as if there is no silver lining on the horizon, currently. Would it be condemnable to consider crisis investments that can even profit from such developments?

Continue reading

Rising Food Protectionism – and a new research report

While people over the last week were scratching their heads over whether cryptocurrencies are a scam with the implosion of the third largest crypto exchange FTX, the world is facing REAL problems. Exports of an estimated 20% of the world’s calories are currently restricted. Food protectionism and nationalism are on the rise. An investigation into this dangerous trend and a new research report due for my Premium Members, on Saturday.

Continue reading