You can read everywhere that due to the “coming recession” in Western countries, energy demand is going to take a hit and push prices down. Likewise, you also find headlines that Chinese recovery demand might come in below expectations. It is a foregone conclusion that prices of energy will go down – everything circles around demand. But is this the big picture? What would happen if a massive supply shock took market participants by surprise? You won’t be surprised, but prepared, with this latest Weekly.
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A company uranium investors should be monitoring closely
The investment thesis and the soil for expected higher uranium prices is based on a growing supply and demand imbalance. This is what I already wrote about. An underinvested, not growing supply base is facing higher, maybe even way higher demand from existing as well as new nuclear reactors that are under construction. Today, I am discussing the biggest uranium project under development.
Continue readingCommodity stocks and recessions – clearing up a common misconception
As many commodity prices – being economically sensitive resources – have dropped massively over the last months (and even more so over the last weeks) as well as a recession being expected by the consensus, the question is whether equities of commodity producers in general are about to crash. At least this was the procedure during the last Great Recession of 2008–2009. However, this is too simplified, completely ignoring history.
Continue readingMegatrend of this decade: Dividend cuts + an update to my most popular article so far
Even though I know that I certainly won’t make many new friends with this article, especially not from the ranks of dividend investors, it is a duty for me to address this topic. I also think, it’s no coincidence that my most popular article to date has been about looming dividend cuts. Simply put, it’s too important to be ignored.
Continue readingWill Deutsche Bahn (DB) finally be broken up? + new research report!
In the past, this question was a no-go. On several occasions, speculation about at least a sale of non-core business units was put on the table, but quickly buried again. Over time Deutsche Bahn has accumulated so much debt that its barely profitable core operations cannot handle these obligations. An eternal zombie existence on government life support is not a viable solution. And then there is the ambitious investment offensive to modernize and expand the existing rail infrastructure. Is it finally time to break up Deutsche Bahn?
Continue readingIs NuScale Power Corp. (SMR) a sure bet on next-gen atomic reactors?
A few weeks ago, I wrote about the overall investment environment of uranium. I concluded from a top-level perspective, that due to a stressed supply-demand situation, higher prices likely are more a question of “when”, not “if”. After publication, one of my readers and Premium Members wrote to me about a certain company that could benefit from the plan to not only build more, but also smaller, next generation nuclear reactors. I have put this idea under the microscope.
Continue readingDollar stores with discounted prices, but expensive shares
Physical retail stores as a whole in most developed countries have more likely than not reached their peak. However, there is a sub-category in this sector that is expanding quickly. More than that, the so-called “dollar stores” have even been beneficiaries of a diminishing middle-class. Are the respective stocks a good investment idea, especially as inflation is trimming budgets?
Continue readingUranium: Explosive investment opportunity or meltdown ahead?
One of the most frequently asked questions among commodity investors is about uranium. This controversial commodity seems to finally have entered a new bull market after a decade and a half of pure disappointments. What followed the euphoria of 2007/2008 was a long stretch torture. What are the prospects now and will the uranium price shoot up again sustainably? Or is it just hyped and ready to fall into dust?
Continue readingThe funeral business: dead money or under-looked opportunity?
Last week, I wrote about farmland and farmland stocks. But land can also be used for other purposes. While being asked about land, the most common answers will be farmland or land for housebuilding. Maybe also forestry. However, there is another sector that could prove to be a more valuable investment opportunity due to being less followed, but obvious in hindsight.
Continue readingAre farmland stocks a hedge against inflation?
If you ask people about inflation-proof investments, the answers are most likely energy, real estate, precious metals or nowadays maybe even cryptocurrencies or rare whisky bottles. What is less obvious and very underestimated is farmland. It has proven to be not only a very effective hedge against inflation, but also over the last 25 years outperformed the S&P500 while being less volatile. What about farmland stocks?
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