Tag Archives: debt

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Halozyme Therapeutics – an overlooked bargain? + new stock idea

Feeling uncomfortable with everybody’s darling stocks, my motivation was and still is to find stock ideas with what I call “an own life”. With that I am looking for companies with internal triggers or catalysts which can influence shares positively (almost) regardless of what broader markets do. While I do not believe (for now) in a hefty stock market crash which pushes down all equities, I cannot rule out a nosebleed correction in the tech sector. In search of uncorrelated stock ideas, I spent some time on the Pharma / biotech sector. Halozyme Therapeutics is a seemingly lowly-valued stock. My Premium PLUS members have already received my latest potential-multi-bagger stock idea in an exclusive research report to kick off the year 2025.

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Warm-up for 2025 – better expect the unexpected

Despite having done a combined review-and-outlook Weekly already, I decided to write another one with the focus solely on the outlook for 2025. Over the last weeks, I have gathered new ideas, but also brought my thoughts in order during the days that I took off. There are a few other things I wanted to share. What could the next investing year have in store for us?

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Stocks of Dollar Stores – now finally a buy?

This Weekly is an update taking a second look at North American “dollar store” operators Dollar General and Dollarama. After almost exactly to the day two years ago, I featured both names in an analysis concluding that I have sympathies for the businesses as such, but not for their stocks. Something quite interesting has happened since: one stock totally cratered, the other advanced by another 75%. The development could not have been more different! What do both have in store now?

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Antitrust has come into fashion – Capri Holdings after its 50% crash

Back in May, I wrote about the stock of Capri Holdings, the owner of wannabe-luxury fashion brands Michael Kors, Versace and Jimmy Choo. My assessment was that despite looking like a bargain, the stock was too risky due to its weak execution on a business level with deteriorating fundamentals. Capri and competitor Tapestry were appealing the blocked takeover attempt by Tapestry which now has been called off for good by the Federal Trade Commission. Capri crashed by 50% in response to the announcement of the deal-freeze. Is the stock now cheap enough?

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Estée Lauder – after –75% still not pretty + dividend in danger

A common misconception is that lower stock prices are akin to cheaper shares. Without much explanation, it is logical that this can only apply when the underlying business has at least been stable. Otherwise it is possible that a stock even becomes more expensive! While this is not the case at Estée Lauder, despite a 75% drop from its all-time high, the stock is still looking ugly valuation-wise. A decent downside risk remains. On top, the likelihood for a dividend cut or even entire suspension is significant.

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Investing in oligopolies isn’t always a winning strategy

Everyone knows that market concentration leads to less competition and in turn to more powerful entities within this group. Such oligopolies by definition should allow the respective companies to achieving strong results and high margins due to pricing power, but also where applicable economies of scale. In reality, however, not every sector or company offers automatically a good stock investment, even when factually operating in an oligopoly.

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Checkmate – more kings to have on the radar for dividend cuts

My longer time readers know that dividend cuts have been one of my favorite topics. It is of high importance for me to ring the bell in order to help investors get more cautious with their investments. There are no risk-free stocks. The same applies to proclaimed “bond-proxy” dividend stocks, no matter which useless title they hold in connection with their dividend series. Today, I’m presenting two more kings I have on my radar for a cut.

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Back to 2012 after the blocked acquisition – is Capri Holdings a buy?

Last year in August, struggling Capri Holdings, known for its brands Michael Kors, Versace and Jimmy Choo, received a bid from competitor Tapestry. Capri’s stock surged by 50%. However, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) wants to block this deal in fear of market concentration. As the deal still hasn’t closed and court hearings are ongoing, the stock lost now the complete bid premium. It fell even back again to 2012-levels. Is the stock a buy now?

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The untold risks of average returns

This headline might sound confusing at first sight, but behind it is a topic worth thinking about. As one understands what’s behind “average returns”, a portfolio check-up could be appropriate, especially if one is overweight in stocks with past above average performances paired with high valuations. A few thoughts on risk-adjusted investing.

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Uncle Sam as tenant? Two stocks with government exposure – Part I

While it is not directly investing in the government per se as you won’t have any direct ownership in it (luckily), I’ve found two stocks that are operating in the name of it. I am not talking about defense companies where governments are the sole customers (individuals don’t buy tanks). There are two high-yielding REITs with several government agencies as their tenants. Are they worth a look? Part one.

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