Investing in stocks of companies that went bankrupt, seriously? Seriously! What at first sounds like a recipe for disaster, indeed can be a lucrative endeavor. A bankrupt company is not the same as the ceasing of operations. Indeed, often it is even the case that companies go into bankruptcy restructuring while everyday operations continue. This area can be a great treasure trove to fish for potential multi-baggers where others don’t bother due to negative associations. A premier on Financial Engineering: My Premium PLUS members receive my latest stock idea – a pick that recently emerged from bankruptcy – with the potential to multi-bag.
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Nomad Foods: Tasty Deal?
In the spotlight today is the Western European market leader in the frozen food industry. With a portfolio of multiple brands, the company’s roots span over a century. The current setup was formed in 2015, when the brands Iglo and Findus were acquired. Since the IPO, a decade has passed, yet the stock is trading (again) where it had started. Are a near 5% dividend yield and a PE ratio of 7 enough to spark appetite, or is something fishy?
Continue readingDiageo – Does Johnnie keep on stumblin’?
Though initially not planned as a trilogy in that sense, today I am taking a closer look at Diageo, the world’s biggest spirits company. Like its competitors Pernod Ricard and Brown-Foreman, Diageo stock has nosedived, and caused strong headaches for its investors. After the stock got cut in half, while the broader market ran from high to high, the question arises, whether this could be a good contrarian pick right now. Especially with the dividend now being on a historically high level.
Continue readingPVH Corp.: Trading at 6x earnings – still not a buy
While it likely makes sense to be cautious when a stock trades at a high valuation multiple, the case of PVH Corp. might raise some eyebrows – at least at first sight. The company owns two well-known apparel brands, has been constantly profitable, is generating healthy free cash flow and even buying back its own shares aggressively at a low valuation, seemingly generating strong shareholder value. Shares, however, only trade at a 6x price to earnings ratio. I’ll tell you while this likely is still not a bargain.
Continue readingThe case of e.l.f. Beauty — chic story meets a glamorous valuation
The comparatively young company e.l.f. Beauty is famous among younger generations thanks to low-price, high-value and cruelty-free cosmetics. Its stunning rise, disrupting the industry with bold innovation, has glossed its stock with a remarkable run, reflecting glamorous growth and consistent market share gains for years. After its peak, the stock fell by three quarters and has more than doubled again since then. After the latest earnings, shares surged by more than 20% as a big acquisition was announced. Is this a beautiful compounder to have an eye on?
Continue reading4 prestigious giants set to slash their dividends
Here we go again with one of my favorite contrarian topics: Buckle up, the dividend butcher is sharpening his axe once more! Four prestigious dividend stocks once deemed safe havens are poised to slash their generosity to ribbons. With worsening fundamentals, overstretched balance sheets and drying cash flows in a challenging environment, these firms will likely need to trim the fat from their dividends in the not-too-distant future.
Continue readingPepsiCo – refreshing buy or just a crushed can?
The stock of soft drinks and snacks giant PepsiCo over the last five years has done exactly nothing. Dividends were the only form of returns, but this will hardly make investors high-five this market-lagging performance. With a just raised-again dividend, a yield on the high-end of the historical range, a comparatively low PE ratio of 16x and an uncertain economic environment, this consumer staple company might qualify for a defensive portfolio.
Continue readingPernod Ricard yields 5% – convincing enough?
Pernod Ricard’s stock has taken an almost unthinkable tumble, plummeting from a spirited high of over 200 EUR not too long ago in 2023 to even below 100 EUR now. That’s a 50% nosedive in just two years, while the broader markets – until they got a bit tipsy a few months back – were toasting new highs. The more so shocking, as Pernod Ricard is seen as a “recession-proof, high-quality company with valuable brands”. Is this a rare chance to grab a premium spirits stock at a bargain, letting its value intoxicate your portfolio? Or could it trap you in a value hangover?
Continue readingIs South Africa’s Sasol a steel at 0.4x book value?
Once a 40 bn. USD heavyweight, South Africa’s energy and chemicals company Sasol has imploded to a market cap of less than 3 bn. USD. South Africa primarily makes negative news, as the country is coping with political instability, a weak economy, high unemployment, the world’s highest inequality, a fragile energy and electricity supply and even recently announced legally allowed expropriations of white people. In this environment, the currency depreciated strongly. Is now the time to look for bargains in this crisis-ridden environment? A look at South Africa’s (former) giant.
Continue readingConsumer staples got eaten for lunch – Part II – Alcohol stocks
After my take on food stocks, in today’s second part of the series I am having a look at another failed group of consumer darlings – alcohol producers. These “sin stocks”, similar to tobacco, have been seen for long as one of the best ideas to play defense. Especially in crises, it was said people would smoke and drink even more. The only difference: valuations. While most tobacco stocks today are deep-value plays, alcohol stocks for a long time have had rather rich multiples. Frustrating for those who only looked at the perceived quality of the companies, but not their risks. With many alcohol companies trading substantially below their highs, is now the time to get active?
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