Tag Archives: Free Cash Flow

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Checkmate – more kings to have on the radar for dividend cuts

My longer time readers know that dividend cuts have been one of my favorite topics. It is of high importance for me to ring the bell in order to help investors get more cautious with their investments. There are no risk-free stocks. The same applies to proclaimed “bond-proxy” dividend stocks, no matter which useless title they hold in connection with their dividend series. Today, I’m presenting two more kings I have on my radar for a cut.

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Raspberry going public – cheap under-the-radar opportunity?

Hobbyist computer company Raspberry – known for its small single board devices of the size of a credit card – will become a publicly traded company in a few weeks. In fact, Raspberry is more than just a hardware company for do-it-yourselfers. It’s targeted 500 mn. GBP IPO looks cheap on the surface with a (debt-free) PE of 20x and a growth story attached to it. I took a closer look into the prospectus – the stock will likely be way more expensive than you might think. Caution is advised.

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Burberry – closed at a loss + what to take home

As is with investing, from time to time, there will be losing positions in a portfolio in company to big winners. This is what happened among my ideas for my Premium PLUS members. Last week, I threw out Burberry after I lost patience due to deteriorating fundamentals. Today, I am looking back at how I formed my thesis, what happened in the meantime and I explain why I finally pulled the brake as well as why this decision was necessary.

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What most investors get wrong about gold stocks + new research report

There are three things the majority of investors fail to understand with regards to gold stocks. The first is gold is NOT THE hedge against inflation and thus gold stocks not even better hedges. The second is with higher gold prices, NOT ALL gold stocks go up exponentially. The third is the evergreen that all gold stocks are heavily undervalued by the stupid market and great buying opportunities. I am going to take these beliefs apart. My Premium PLUS members receive on top my best gold stock idea after I have already had a golden hand with my silver pick (for all my members). If you read until the end, I have a small gift for you.

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Back to 2012 after the blocked acquisition – is Capri Holdings a buy?

Last year in August, struggling Capri Holdings, known for its brands Michael Kors, Versace and Jimmy Choo, received a bid from competitor Tapestry. Capri’s stock surged by 50%. However, the Federal Trade Commission (FTC) wants to block this deal in fear of market concentration. As the deal still hasn’t closed and court hearings are ongoing, the stock lost now the complete bid premium. It fell even back again to 2012-levels. Is the stock a buy now?

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Namibia – the new and better Guyana? + new research report

Although ever since the predictions and paroles have been that the world is running out of oil soon, from time to time big new discoveries have been made. Brazil has vast known reserves that could last for 50 years. Offshore the coast of neighboring Guyana, a reservoir of an estimated double digit billion barrels of oil equivalent is being already extracted. There’s a good chance, Namibia, a country in Southwest-Africa, could become the “next Guyana” – maybe even a better one!

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Why you should look out for Cannibals

My perception is the majority of stock investors do either prefer dividend stocks or something with a high growth component like first and foremost technology. The third group would be turnarounds (which I am also not opposed to). What is much under-appreciated, though, are cannibals or buyback monsters. I think this topic should earn more attention. Good for those who know about it.

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The untold risks of average returns

This headline might sound confusing at first sight, but behind it is a topic worth thinking about. As one understands what’s behind “average returns”, a portfolio check-up could be appropriate, especially if one is overweight in stocks with past above average performances paired with high valuations. A few thoughts on risk-adjusted investing.

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Buying companies after dividend cuts + new research report

What sounds crazy at first sight, indeed is rather an interesting strategy to think about. Sounds crazy, as almost everyone is talking about higher dividends? Let me make the case for dividend cuts! My next stock idea from my upcoming research report fits exactly into this scheme.

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BlackRock: ESG harmful for business – hated stocks poised to come back?

One of the big investment topics of this decade could be the return of those neglected and hated sectors that did not fit into boldly advertised ESG policies. Dirty, careless, only return focussed, etc. Yet, that’s not the same as not needed or replaceable, not to mention affordability. On the other hand, you have greenwashing, higher costs of living and ousting of non-liberal, more conservative customers with silly messages and acts. BlackRock is writing it and the market is speaking. Listen.

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