Tag Archives: Premium Membership

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General Mills: The Dividend (sh)could get crushed

Last week, I discussed the case of Flowers Foods, the largest publicly listed bakery in the US. The company has cut its “safe” dividend for the first time ever, unlike many other consumer staples that are still reluctant to do so — despite the market pressing them. Circumstances have changed, and wise managements better cut now, instead of denying reality any longer. Another candidate where the “safe” dividend might not be so safe is General Mills. The company reported another set of disastrous results. Although the payout is technically still covered, I have doubts it will be kept at this level.

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Learnings from the 5 Cases I Closed so far in 2026

From time to time, besides discussing new ideas in my exclusive research reports that I publish for my members, I also end coverage for one or the other active case. It can be for various reasons. There’s no firm scheme behind it. So far this year, I have what I call “closed” five ideas. In this weekly, I am uncovering these names, reviewing case by case my motivations for choosing them to be featured in my reports, but also my reasons for each of the closings as well as key learnings.

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Consumer Tectonics: Why branded FMCG Stocks have lost their edge + new research report

This is a topic I have already written many weeklies about. I haven’t counted them, but it might be the one with the most publications — very likely when adding my twitter posts and comments. Directly about certain struggling, popular consumer stocks and on a higher, aggregated level about the sector as such. I do not get tired of pointing towards what went wrong, but especially cautioning my readers to not fall for seemingly “cheap” consumer stocks. There are deep structural shifts that better not be ignored. Today, I am expanding on this topic, after having studied two eye-opening third-party consumer reports that manifest my negative view about these value traps.

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Europe’s Digital Sovereignty Push

Europe is finally reclaiming digital sovereignty. With the fresh Tech Sovereignty Package and Cloud & AI Development Act, the EU is shifting billions away from U.S. hyperscalers toward trusted European providers. Who benefits? Local companies. A look at IONOS, the German champion combining sticky SMB hosting, sovereign cloud contracts, and built-in AI defenses. Is it the next big winner — or is a better play out there?

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Recycling’s Moment: Turning Problem into Opportunity

Europe’s, and especially Germany’s, industrial machine runs primarily on imported raw materials. A mix of limited domestic deposits and seemingly unlimited regulatory hurdles to exploit factually available resources, has created near-total dependence on foreign supplies for critical inputs like oil, gas, copper, lithium, rare earths, and more. These are essentials for cars, machines, electronics, and even the “green transition”. Recent escalations in the Middle East have amplified supply risks, pushed prices higher, and exposed the fragility of long global chains. Could this be the wake-up call for serious recycling?

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Vital Farms: Eggs-tremely Dangerous Setup!

Over the last not even one and a half years, egg prices in the U.S. have gone through two extremes. A record high caused by highly pathogenic avian influenza (HPAI) was followed by a collapse of unprecedented scale, leading to decade-low prices today. Being now likely closer to the bottom than the top, and with odds being low that eggs are going to be given away for free, it might be a good time to have a look at this sector. Vital Farms was shining bright on the way up. Is this now an egg-citing, countercyclical opportunity?

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Have popular consumer stocks fallen enough? + new research report

For several years now, investors have been wondering when consumer stocks will finally bottom. Once foundational safeguards across many portfolios and mainly bought for their dividends, and not their share price appreciation (though welcome), defensive consumer stocks have created strong headaches for those who bought at high multiples, ignoring the big fundamental shift that happened (Financial Engineering readers have been warned about). Naturally, at some point, there will be a bottom, though. Are we there yet?

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RTL Group: Is the 15% dividend worth a look?

Everyone knows linear tv is in perpetual decline. Less and less people are watching traditional television — many do not even own a tv anymore. Streaming services have grown in popularity and taken market share. Germany’s biggest private radio and television conglomerate, RTL Group, is in the midst of a turnaround by pushing its own streaming service, but also by expanding sports live broadcasts. What might lead to raising eyebrows is the company has declared a dividend yielding 15%. Could this be the ultimate contrarian play?

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Reading the tea leaves of Associated British Foods + new research report

Despite my negative view on food and beverage stocks, I have not given up. Associated British Foods, or ABF in brief, appears to offer one of the better setups on the menu. The maker of Twinings Tea is still family-controlled and it has a clean balance sheet. These two points alone dramatically differentiate it from other troubled competitors. However, ABF itself isn’t free of challenges either. Its “defensive” stock last week collapsed after a disappointing trading update. In this weekly, I take a look at ABF, as there’s a potential catalyst on the horizon. Good news for all my paid-members: I’ve finally found a food stock checking my boxes. My first member eggs-clusive research report for 2026 is out of the cage.

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Can this company achieve what hasn’t been done in 20 years?

Everyone is aware of tobacco / cigarette companies and their stocks. For many investors, these are absolute core investments for their stability and high dividends. Against all negativity and a shrinking pool of smokers, tobacco companies managed to survive and thrive. Almost a year ago, my Premium PLUS members received an exclusive report from me with an idea with ties to this sector — but from an entirely different viewpoint. I am making this case public now, discussing the rollercoaster that’s behind us, but also what’s ahead of us.

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