Isn’t it amazing how forgetful market participants can be? Not even a full month ago, sentiment was as if the (financial) world were about to implode. Just a week later the panic-induced market losses were already gained back and three weeks later the crowd is smelling new all-time highs again. What I’m concerned about is expectations seem to be that nothing unfortunate will happen again. I have become a bit concerned, as complacency seems to be EXTRAORDINARILY high. In such an environment, small shifts are enough to cause a market panic – there are a few signs to be aware of. And a new stock idea for my members to capitalize on that, too.
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Buying companies after dividend cuts + new research report
What sounds crazy at first sight, indeed is rather an interesting strategy to think about. Sounds crazy, as almost everyone is talking about higher dividends? Let me make the case for dividend cuts! My next stock idea from my upcoming research report fits exactly into this scheme.
Continue readingTime to look at gas + new research report
Energy in general is a hotly debated and controversial topic. But when it comes to natural gas, it can become extreme, especially if you mix in liquefied natural gas – or in short: LNG. For long, I have been sitting on the sidelines regarding this market. But I feel now is the time to not only write a Weekly, but also a research report for my members about it – as a hedge from a European perspective. As a bonus, I estimate a 10% dividend yield to be announced next week from my latest pick.
Continue readingMy 7 mission-critical checkpoints to pick my best stock ideas that beat the market
With the turn of my blog into its second year, I first started to publicly present the performance of my stock ideas that are exclusive to my Premium / Premium PLUS members. As it stands, on average my picks have been beating the market. Now, I also want to explain more in-depth the recipe behind how I pick those ideas – my analysis approach. I am transparent in what I do. Here’s my concept I developed over the years.
Continue readingUpdate to my first silver Weekly + new research report
Almost exactly a year ago I published a Weekly with the question whether it was the right time back then to buy silver. I rather referred to silver in physical form, respectively via ETFs which hold it in physical form, as I had difficulties in finding an investable stock of a producer that fit my strict quality filter. This industry is still a mess, as many miners are actively destroying shareholder value and / or are having difficulties with their costs, but also declining reserves.
Continue readingA silver lining for Argentina? A look at YPF + new research report
Argentina is mainly known as a nation being in perpetual crisis mode. Besides beef, wine and tango, among the first thoughts that likely come to one’s mind are debt, economic hardship and hyperinflation. Needless to say that in such an environment you won’t find a booming economy. However, many Argentine stocks or those with a vast exposure to this market, have been rising over the last months. Is a (massive) turnaround in sight?
Continue readingGerman Conglomerates: Creating Shareholder Value from spin-offs? + new research report
Decades ago, it was en vogue to create big conglomerates. Size was associated with being a sign of strength, bringing robustness in times of economic distress. However, as “holding discounts” nowadays are holding these companies back from achieving higher valuations, the opposite direction is pursued to lift these “hidden values”. Many German concerns are currently in this process. There is also one particular under the radar opportunity that is too cheap to be ignored.
Continue readingBig Pharma to destroy shareholder value? + new research report for Premium Members
Stocks of big pharmaceutical companies have been core holdings in many portfolios for as long as I can remember, probably even beyond that. The reasons are crystal-clear: an ever aging population, more chronic diseases also among younger generations, stable to slightly rising demand throughout the business cycle, relative price stability of those stocks and reliable dividends. What’s not to like?
Continue readingRising Food Protectionism – and a new research report
While people over the last week were scratching their heads over whether cryptocurrencies are a scam with the implosion of the third largest crypto exchange FTX, the world is facing REAL problems. Exports of an estimated 20% of the world’s calories are currently restricted. Food protectionism and nationalism are on the rise. An investigation into this dangerous trend and a new research report due for my Premium Members, on Saturday.
Continue readingMy latest research report is out!
Like I teasered in my most recent Weekly, where I covered the topic of offshore banking from the perspective of a small private investor, I just published the corresponding research report. I wrote about a company that focussed its business on just that – offshore banking!
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