Only about a month until the presidential elections will be held in the US. Depending on the outcome, implications for stock investors and their portfolio composition could be quite different. With the clock ticking, now is a good time to look back at 2016 and to prepare for what’s in store. For my Premium PLUS members, I have dug out a very unconventional idea with the potential to realistically up to 6x in case Donald Trump does indeed win again – with very little dependence on what broader markets could do. On top, there could even be a dividend with a yield of almost 50%.
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Quick profits through short squeezes + new research report
Every (amateur) investor’s dream is to get rich quickly. After a few years in the markets, more experienced investors know this is a naive attitude, most often only good enough to lose money quickly, i.e. the opposite of what was intended initially. However, a suitable strategy which can be mixed into a stock portfolio – especially when searching for uncorrelated ideas – is to look for potential short squeeze targets, given the underlying businesses are not one step away from bankruptcy. A look back at some prominent short squeezes. My members on top receive my latest research report with a potential short squeeze candidate.
Continue readingPost the Volatility crash – next leg up? + new stock idea to benefit
Isn’t it amazing how forgetful market participants can be? Not even a full month ago, sentiment was as if the (financial) world were about to implode. Just a week later the panic-induced market losses were already gained back and three weeks later the crowd is smelling new all-time highs again. What I’m concerned about is expectations seem to be that nothing unfortunate will happen again. I have become a bit concerned, as complacency seems to be EXTRAORDINARILY high. In such an environment, small shifts are enough to cause a market panic – there are a few signs to be aware of. And a new stock idea for my members to capitalize on that, too.
Continue readingFlow Traders – it was right to cut the loss
My longer time readers and members will be familiar with the Dutch company Flow Traders as it once was one of my stock ideas (my very first report I published since launching my blog). In late September 2023, now ten months ago, however, I closed this case at a small loss of –10% (including dividends). It was not an easy decision as this was more an unconventional stock idea (basically a hedge against a market crash). Looking back, this was absolutely the correct decision to cut the small loss, because it would be a bigger hole now…
Continue readingBreaking up to unlock value + new research report
While I do not agree that the market is efficient all the time, I also do not agree that it is completely inefficient. Especially in today’s world where information is more accessible than ever before. The truth will likely be somewhere in the middle. Clear cases with little surprises and high transparency with lots of attention tend to be valued fairly or even overvalued, especially when sentiment is positive. However, when something is overlooked and / or less transparent, respectively a bit more complicated and even hated, there’s a chance to find hidden value.
Continue readingInvesting in oligopolies isn’t always a winning strategy
Everyone knows that market concentration leads to less competition and in turn to more powerful entities within this group. Such oligopolies by definition should allow the respective companies to achieving strong results and high margins due to pricing power, but also where applicable economies of scale. In reality, however, not every sector or company offers automatically a good stock investment, even when factually operating in an oligopoly.
Continue readingCheckmate – more kings to have on the radar for dividend cuts
My longer time readers know that dividend cuts have been one of my favorite topics. It is of high importance for me to ring the bell in order to help investors get more cautious with their investments. There are no risk-free stocks. The same applies to proclaimed “bond-proxy” dividend stocks, no matter which useless title they hold in connection with their dividend series. Today, I’m presenting two more kings I have on my radar for a cut.
Continue readingWhat most investors get wrong about gold stocks + new research report
There are three things the majority of investors fail to understand with regards to gold stocks. The first is gold is NOT THE hedge against inflation and thus gold stocks not even better hedges. The second is with higher gold prices, NOT ALL gold stocks go up exponentially. The third is the evergreen that all gold stocks are heavily undervalued by the stupid market and great buying opportunities. I am going to take these beliefs apart. My Premium PLUS members receive on top my best gold stock idea after I have already had a golden hand with my silver pick (for all my members). If you read until the end, I have a small gift for you.
Continue readingWhy you should look out for Cannibals
My perception is the majority of stock investors do either prefer dividend stocks or something with a high growth component like first and foremost technology. The third group would be turnarounds (which I am also not opposed to). What is much under-appreciated, though, are cannibals or buyback monsters. I think this topic should earn more attention. Good for those who know about it.
Continue readingBuying companies after dividend cuts + new research report
What sounds crazy at first sight, indeed is rather an interesting strategy to think about. Sounds crazy, as almost everyone is talking about higher dividends? Let me make the case for dividend cuts! My next stock idea from my upcoming research report fits exactly into this scheme.
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