Category Archives: resources / supply side economics

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Commodity stocks and recessions – clearing up a common misconception

As many commodity prices – being economically sensitive resources – have dropped massively over the last months (and even more so over the last weeks) as well as a recession being expected by the consensus, the question is whether equities of commodity producers in general are about to crash. At least this was the procedure during the last Great Recession of 2008–2009. However, this is too simplified, completely ignoring history.

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Will strategic resources be nationalized?

An important, but surprisingly little commented upon, news story prompted me to think about this very critical topic. Since most commonly known mining stocks often have no small exposure to emerging markets, I decided to dig a little deeper for my readers. I also take a look at some individual stocks and present two ideas with “pure-play Tier 1” exposure to gold and silver.

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Beware the next hype – Helium Producers

In recent months, I’ve been reading more and more about a hot new topic: helium production. Helium is an essential gas in medical as well as industrial applications. The key message being spread is that this so far opaque market is about to become more transparent, as many small exploration companies seem to be embarking on promising projects. Is this really the next sector you should bet on, or is it too much hot air that will deflate, bringing headaches like too much inhaled helium?

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Is NuScale Power Corp. (SMR) a sure bet on next-gen atomic reactors?

A few weeks ago, I wrote about the overall investment environment of uranium. I concluded from a top-level perspective, that due to a stressed supply-demand situation, higher prices likely are more a question of “when”, not “if”. After publication, one of my readers and Premium Members wrote to me about a certain company that could benefit from the plan to not only build more, but also smaller, next generation nuclear reactors. I have put this idea under the microscope.

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Uranium: Explosive investment opportunity or meltdown ahead?

One of the most frequently asked questions among commodity investors is about uranium. This controversial commodity seems to finally have entered a new bull market after a decade and a half of pure disappointments. What followed the euphoria of 2007/2008 was a long stretch torture. What are the prospects now and will the uranium price shoot up again sustainably? Or is it just hyped and ready to fall into dust?

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Rising Food Protectionism – and a new research report

While people over the last week were scratching their heads over whether cryptocurrencies are a scam with the implosion of the third largest crypto exchange FTX, the world is facing REAL problems. Exports of an estimated 20% of the world’s calories are currently restricted. Food protectionism and nationalism are on the rise. An investigation into this dangerous trend and a new research report due for my Premium Members, on Saturday.

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Are evil energy (oil) stocks already priced too ambitiously for a recession?

It is an old wisdom that during a recession cyclical equities in general and energy stocks in special are suffering pretty much. When the economy slows down, the supply and demand imbalance pushes energy prices down, too. Stocks of these “commodity businesses” come under pressure in unison. But is it the same now? Or could we even be in for a surprise to the upside?

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How to beat the bear market – inflation, stagflation, recession

It should be clear to almost everyone by now that prices have risen sharply over the past twelve months. At the same time, economies around the world are plummeting. Stagflation at its finest. Unsurprisingly, many stocks have fallen, too. As a result, most people have become poorer in real terms, whether they invest or not. It is time to answer the urgent question of how to successfully weather this painful bear market.

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Is now the perfect time to buy silver again?

Precious metals are either loved or hated by most investors. After a pop in 2020, both gold and silver prices have been falling in a stretching torture for two years now. But there seems to be a silver lining on the horizon. As long as sentiment is poor, it may be time to have a look at silver again. Especially since there are fundamental tailwinds…

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