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Drill Baby, drill + new research report “Trump Trade 2.0”

One of the expectations for the second term of president-elect Donald Trump is that “dirty” energy will see a huge revival due to pushing back the strict ESG policies of the current administration. Less wind and solar and back to more oil, gas and coal, maybe with nuclear mixed in. However, despite the perception being that Trump is good for oil and gas producers, the above would be exactly the opposite as more supply means lower energy prices. Will we see aggressive drilling and lower energy prices or shall we prepare for something entirely different? All my members receive my latest stock idea, my second “Trump Trade” which should be a big beneficiary either way.

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How to deal with mistakes to avoid negative compounding

One of the hardest disciplines in investing is how to handle unrealized losses. These positions not only tie up capital that could be invested elsewhere, but they also can paralyze an investor. In its worst shape and form, this condition leads the focus on distractions, not on what’s generating the performance for the portfolio. This is a topic every investor should from time to time think about in order to improve personal investment skills and to avoid being drawn into a negative spiral.

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Nvidia joined the Dow Jones – a bad omen?

Joining the famous Dow Jones Industrial Average is a prestigious honor. The 30 constituents are the crown jewels of what America offers in stock investments. While not all of the biggest companies are part of the Dow for different reasons, it is safe to say that from an international, outside perspective the Dow is seen as the trophy-collection, containing most of the key blue chips. Recently, Nvidia joined this group. While it could be understood as the final proof of Nvidia’s quality and undisputed standing, historically speaking, this is a clear red flash – a warning that the party could be over soon.

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Is focus-investing risky?

One of the first principles a new investor stumbles upon is “don’t put all eggs in one basket”. In other words, diversification is said to be the key to investment success. My longer time readers know that I am strictly opposing this approach in its extreme form. The viewing angle might be even the right one – winning by not losing, respectively by minimizing risks – which is also my strategy. However, there’s a material difference between buying blindly a big basket and focussing on a few investments where one has done the homework.

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Antitrust has come into fashion – Capri Holdings after its 50% crash

Back in May, I wrote about the stock of Capri Holdings, the owner of wannabe-luxury fashion brands Michael Kors, Versace and Jimmy Choo. My assessment was that despite looking like a bargain, the stock was too risky due to its weak execution on a business level with deteriorating fundamentals. Capri and competitor Tapestry were appealing the blocked takeover attempt by Tapestry which now has been called off for good by the Federal Trade Commission. Capri crashed by 50% in response to the announcement of the deal-freeze. Is the stock now cheap enough?

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Why I continue to avoid uranium miners

With the publication of my stock idea to play the uranium bull market in late-2022, I purposefully went against the groupthink. Instead of picking a uranium miner for my members – whether actively in production or just restarting / developing a mine, my choice was a very defensive one. Instead of just looking at the potential for multi-bagger returns in a one-sided, biased way, I saw many more risks in this sector. Today, I am taking a look back, discussing some performance numbers and what happened at a retail investors’ darling from Australia.

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InPost – polish highflier transforms Europe’s parcel delivery market

Delivering parcels to so called parcel machines instead of to the door of the receiver is a major growth story. Coming with benefits for all parties, this win-win concept has not only transformed many big (former) state-owned postal businesses by infusing some new growth into them. It has also created a Polish company that has specialized exactly on this business without operating capital-intensive logistics or legacy mail. It is rolling up many European markets full-steam. The last coup: a takeover in the UK, the continent’s biggest e-commerce market. Is InPost’s stock a must-own?

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Curbline Properties – new REIT with huge net cash – a no-brainer buy?

Despite not being primarily a dividend investor myself, I have written one or the other time about shares of this asset class. Quite popular among income investors, REITs offer exposure to the real estate market in an uncomplicated way. They come without the drawback of having to concentrate on a few objects due to high capital requirements (usually debt-financed) and the need to manage them. With Curbline Properties, a new stock has started trading some two weeks ago. What’s so special about this company is that it comes with a huge net cash position, uncommon for REITs. Is it worth a look?

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Silvercrest buyout – is Discovery Silver the next in line?

Last Friday it was announced that my former silver mining stock idea for my members, Silvercrest Metals, will be acquired. Great on one side, as it confirms through my research work to have found a great company. I had laid out that Silvercrest might be an acquisition target one day due to its high-quality mine in Mexico. Bad on the other, as I obviously closed my case too early at “only” +85.1%, leaving some performance on the table. There’s another interesting silver miner in Mexico, sitting not less than on the world’s biggest undeveloped deposit. Is this an even better Silvercrest in the making?

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Stocks and a potential Trump 2.0 presidency + new stock idea

Only about a month until the presidential elections will be held in the US. Depending on the outcome, implications for stock investors and their portfolio composition could be quite different. With the clock ticking, now is a good time to look back at 2016 and to prepare for what’s in store. For my Premium PLUS members, I have dug out a very unconventional idea with the potential to realistically up to 6x in case Donald Trump does indeed win again – with very little dependence on what broader markets could do. On top, there could even be a dividend with a yield of almost 50%.

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