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Has Big Pharma destroyed Shareholder Value (as expected)?

In March 2023, I published a controversial weekly, warning about investments in Big Pharma stocks. This group, often popular among retail investors for their dividends and pretend safety (size, diversification, proven, etc.), was already back then clearly facing a huge wall of painful patent expirations. As I had expected, many of the biggest — and most popular — names have seen their stocks painfully breaking apart while broader markets rose. Time for an update.

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Are we in a stock picker’s market?

Last Friday, the newsletter from the Wall Street Journal hit my inbox. It immediately raised my attention as the core topic read Why This Isn’t a ‘Stock Picker’s Market’. Being a passionate stock picker myself, having little left for both, mainstream stocks and passive investing, I cannot let this statement left untouched for obvious reasons.

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The Oracle in the AI coal mine?

Over the last months, I have written two Weeklies, criticizing the from my view not sustainable AI investment frenzy, featuring Meta’s stock as my main target. Maybe this was because Meta is a mainstream darling that on top has delivered a stellar return over the last three years. However, little did I know that there is an even more interesting case in the second row. With some interesting developments in the recent past, is this the Oracle in the AI coal mine for what to expect?

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Don’t skip this: Why I‘ve been (+ remain) negative on consumer stocks

I must admit I am surprised how angry people can become when their widows and orphans stocks, mainly consumer staples with reliable dividends, are attacked. It is no secret that I‘ve been writing and commenting negatively about them for some time. And I was right in most cases, as these “safe bets“, which according to the fan base belong in every defensive portfolio, have performed very poorly. I stick to my view that the dividends won’t be safe over time. Once and for all, I am now unveiling why my pessimism likely is warranted.

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Meta going all in – More cracks in the AI Capex bubble

In August 2025, I published my first Weekly fully dedicated to this topic. It became my second most read Weekly so far. I gave it the name “Artificial Intelligence meets natural stupidity – and a potential winner no one is counting on”. I introduced my readers to the growing Capex mania of the Big Tech companies, focussing on Meta, and concluding that Apple might turn out to be the winner thanks to avoiding doing stupid things. While the mania continues at even more extreme levels, the risks for a big burst have only increased.

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Is now the time to rotate into defensive stocks?

This question pops up frequently. Some people ask it more often, others less so. The ongoing bull market started in 2009 and was only briefly interrupted a few times. Every dip gets bought, and on we go. We haven’t seen a recession with an enduring and nasty bear market. Many investors nowadays do not even know what that is – the last one is simply too far away. This Weekly is not about market timing, but about bringing some thoughts in order, cleaning up with a few misbeliefs, and challenging the composition of one’s stock portfolio.

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I sold all gold stocks

The price of gold has been making new highs practically on a daily basis – until recently. Those who sold too early missed on further gains. Year to date 2025, the yellow metal truly exploded, from below 2,600 USD to a record of above 4,300 USD. Little surprisingly, gold mining stocks have seen even bigger gains, as at this price level every miner should be extremely profitable, even the worst operators. Instead of becoming greedy, I (just in time) decided to close my two active gold mining cases for my paid-members, realizing fat gains. Why have I decided to do so?

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Side Effect of AI: The Storage Bubble + New Research Report

It is no secret that AI as a topic, its various applications, and in consequence stocks related to AI are receiving much attention. More and more challenge the sustainability of this rapid rise over the last few years, especially as the question of profitability remains unanswered. While everyone is aware of stocks like Nvidia, Oracle or critical suppliers like Micron, as well as multiple AI chatbots, the AI mania has pulled up an otherwise boring sub-segment: storage stocks. Is this justified? All my paid-members receive my latest stock idea: a growing franchise that’s set to dominate the eye care market.

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Albemarle almost doubled from its low – Why I don’t care

Many investors and hurt speculators have been waiting for lithium stocks to finally turn around. After the EV and battery bubble burst in late 2022, losses have been staggering for those who stayed on board, betting on a small correction only. Bullish arguments are abundant, like the long-term demand story that fueled the boom, low commodity prices being the cure for low commodity prices, and recently also direct government investments into certain resource companies. I am telling you why I remain on the sidelines nonetheless.

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Post-Exit Returns of my closed cases analyzed

After having closed a stock idea and after some time passes, it is interesting to take another look at it. An obvious question is the return since the exit. More importantly, though, is what can I learn from the exit and from the subsequent movements, up or down? To answer that, I am for the first time ever unveiling all my closed cases that once were member-exclusive stock ideas. With only one exception, I have not re-activated any case. How did they perform post-exit and what do I distill out of this exercise?

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