With the publication of my stock idea to play the uranium bull market in late-2022, I purposefully went against the groupthink. Instead of picking a uranium miner for my members – whether actively in production or just restarting / developing a mine, my choice was a very defensive one. Instead of just looking at the potential for multi-bagger returns in a one-sided, biased way, I saw many more risks in this sector. Today, I am taking a look back, discussing some performance numbers and what happened at a retail investors’ darling from Australia.
Continue readingInPost – polish highflier transforms Europe’s parcel delivery market
Delivering parcels to so called parcel machines instead of to the door of the receiver is a major growth story. Coming with benefits for all parties, this win-win concept has not only transformed many big (former) state-owned postal businesses by infusing some new growth into them. It has also created a Polish company that has specialized exactly on this business without operating capital-intensive logistics or legacy mail. It is rolling up many European markets full-steam. The last coup: a takeover in the UK, the continent’s biggest e-commerce market. Is InPost’s stock a must-own?
Continue readingCurbline Properties – new REIT with huge net cash – a no-brainer buy?
Despite not being primarily a dividend investor myself, I have written one or the other time about shares of this asset class. Quite popular among income investors, REITs offer exposure to the real estate market in an uncomplicated way. They come without the drawback of having to concentrate on a few objects due to high capital requirements (usually debt-financed) and the need to manage them. With Curbline Properties, a new stock has started trading some two weeks ago. What’s so special about this company is that it comes with a huge net cash position, uncommon for REITs. Is it worth a look?
Continue readingSilvercrest buyout – is Discovery Silver the next in line?
Last Friday it was announced that my former silver mining stock idea for my members, Silvercrest Metals, will be acquired. Great on one side, as it confirms through my research work to have found a great company. I had laid out that Silvercrest might be an acquisition target one day due to its high-quality mine in Mexico. Bad on the other, as I obviously closed my case too early at “only” +85.1%, leaving some performance on the table. There’s another interesting silver miner in Mexico, sitting not less than on the world’s biggest undeveloped deposit. Is this an even better Silvercrest in the making?
Continue readingStocks and a potential Trump 2.0 presidency + new stock idea
Only about a month until the presidential elections will be held in the US. Depending on the outcome, implications for stock investors and their portfolio composition could be quite different. With the clock ticking, now is a good time to look back at 2016 and to prepare for what’s in store. For my Premium PLUS members, I have dug out a very unconventional idea with the potential to realistically up to 6x in case Donald Trump does indeed win again – with very little dependence on what broader markets could do. On top, there could even be a dividend with a yield of almost 50%.
Continue readingVusionGroup – overlooked tech growth story from Europe?
When talking about success stories from the tech sphere, one more likely than not primarily thinks of US companies. While there are a handful of well established big players outside of the US and in addition quite a few ascending, though more locally focussed businesses from Asia and Latin Amerika, too, I must honestly go deep into myself to name two or three European tech success stories of worldwide relevance with a big name, strong growth profile and dominant market position. Among smaller companies, there is a promising candidate to have an eye on – from an unexpected sector.
Continue readingQuick profits through short squeezes + new research report
Every (amateur) investor’s dream is to get rich quickly. After a few years in the markets, more experienced investors know this is a naive attitude, most often only good enough to lose money quickly, i.e. the opposite of what was intended initially. However, a suitable strategy which can be mixed into a stock portfolio – especially when searching for uncorrelated ideas – is to look for potential short squeeze targets, given the underlying businesses are not one step away from bankruptcy. A look back at some prominent short squeezes. My members on top receive my latest research report with a potential short squeeze candidate.
Continue readingThe most profitable, but nearly forgotten online retailer – eBay
Maybe with the exception of the youngest generation, I’m tempted to say that everyone knows eBay. The online retailing dinosaur which was once declared dead due to explosively growing and more modern competitors, is still alive. In fact, it’s even the most profitable such platform. Not noticed by many, its stock has been climbing up to the second-highest point after the separation with PayPal. Time to look at eBay?
Continue readingSmooth ride or highway to hell for Harley-Davidson?
When a company announces a big buyback (percentage-wise, I don’t care about big headline numbers), I usually start to get interested, provided the case is overall solid. Harley-Davidson on the surface checks several boxes like a famous brand, a loyal customer base, a rock-solid balance sheet, relatively stable earnings and cash flow generation paired with a low valuation – and on top now also a new aggressive buyback program of the equivalent of no less than 20% of stock outstanding. Is this now an incredible contrarian opportunity?
Continue readingPost the Volatility crash – next leg up? + new stock idea to benefit
Isn’t it amazing how forgetful market participants can be? Not even a full month ago, sentiment was as if the (financial) world were about to implode. Just a week later the panic-induced market losses were already gained back and three weeks later the crowd is smelling new all-time highs again. What I’m concerned about is expectations seem to be that nothing unfortunate will happen again. I have become a bit concerned, as complacency seems to be EXTRAORDINARILY high. In such an environment, small shifts are enough to cause a market panic – there are a few signs to be aware of. And a new stock idea for my members to capitalize on that, too.
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